If Conservative MPs try to delay Article 50 they could
be decapitated by their local parties!
It
is the role of judges to uphold the law, so when the High Court issued
instructions to Parliament what it must do about triggering Article 50 which
law had been broken? If no law had been broken then the judges were interfering
in the processes of Parliament – a clear breach of the separation of powers and
why so many people are angry with the judges.
The case for the judges is that they were insisting on the sovereignty
of Parliament, but it is for Parliament to determine its own sovereignty which
it is perfectly capable of doing.
At
any time the opposition parties in Parliament can put down a motion to amend,
or delay the triggering of Article 50 subject to certain conditions. Why have they not done so? The reason is very simple – the potential
consequences could be horrendous. Just
for one moment consider what would happen if the opposition tabled a motion to
impose conditions on the triggering of Article 50 and it was actually passed -
the Government would have no choice but to put down a motion of confidence and
if that motion was lost the Queen would have to see if anyone could form a Government
and if not there would have to be a General Election as Westminster is now
murmuring.
Such
a General Election would be fought on the grounds of Parliament versus The
People with the Conservative Party standing up for the rights of the people to
have their democratic decision in the referendum of June 23rd
implemented. You do not need a
psephologist to know which side the people would take. The Liberal Democrats would be wiped out;
the Labour Party would revert to a position not seen since 1931. UKIP would
gain many seats in the North of England and the Tories would measure their
majority in the hundreds.
So
Parliament is sovereign. The problem is
not Parliamentary sovereignty but the fear that if it is exercised the
consequences might be horrific for those that wish to exercise it. The position is clear for the opposition
parties but what about those in the Conservative Party who wish to delay or
even oppose “Brexit”. Might they be as
so many Labour party members have threatened their own MPs deselected?
The
feeling of many grass roots Conservatives is one of increasing anger at those
who wish to frustrate the decision to leave the EU and at the same time
stronger support for the Prime Minister for the stance she has taken.
Any
Conservative MP who wishes to stand again for Parliament has to make a written
application to his Constituency Executive Council. The Executive Council will vote by secret
ballot on whether they wish to re-adopt the MP. The vast majority of Conservative
Associations were pro-leave so any MP wishing to delay or oppose “Brexit” is
likely to find opposition within their constituency and might not get a
majority of their Executive Council to support them. In this situation the MP can request a
postal ballot of all the members of their Association or alternatively the MP
can have their name added to the final list of candidates to be considered at a
General Meeting of their Association.
Either way they would be vulnerable to defeat.
Traditionally
Conservative Central Office has tended to give support to a sitting MP, but not
always as Howard Flight discovered when he was ousted as an MP because of the threats
CCHQ made to his Association. Central Office has extensive powers to pressurise
an Association in its choice of candidates, in extreme cases threatening to put
the Association into “support status” and imposing their own officers on to the
Association, but perhaps in the case of an MP opposing Party policy they might
not be so ready to come to their assistance.
The
end result of all this is that our politics would change beyond recognition and
if such change were to happen woe betide a House of Lords that tried to prevent
“Brexit” It would fall like a House of
Cards when pushed by a House of Commons invigorated by MPs who had just fought
a General Election on the side of the people and democracy. The final lesson is that judges should keep
their noses out of the parliamentary trough. That’s democracy!
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